ITRPV: Three formats are emerging as future photovoltaic wafer sizes
The consolidation of future wafer sizes is visible. The discussion of the technology maturity level was implemented in the ITRPV. The throughputs play an essential role in cost reduction.
Last year, numerous discussions were already held about the trend in wafer sizes, and these have continued this year. The area of wafer sizes is characterized by a multitude of different formats. Within this context, standardization is of major importance for German PV machinery manufacturers. It became apparent that, in addition to 166 (+/-0.25) mm², in particular the 210 (+/-0.25) mm² format is taken into account in mass production. The 182 (+/-0.25) mm² format could also be considered from 2022. Compared to smaller formats, the wafer size of 210 (+/-0.25) mm² can no longer be implemented with upgrades of existing lines, new lines will be needed. New trends are also emerging with regard to module dimensions. In the implementation of 60-cell modules and their half-cell versions, it can be seen that module sizes of up to 4.0 m² are taken into account in mass production due to the larger wafer formats; larger modules will not be focused in the next few years. The discussion of the technology readiness level was implemented in the 11th edition of the International Technology Roadmap for Photovoltaics (ITRPV). The results can be downloaded free of charge from the following link.
The presentation of the update of the ITRPV including the discussion of the maturity level was carried out in an online seminar on new trends and new developments of photovoltaic technologies by Dr. Markus Fischer, R&D Vice President at Hanwha Q Cells Germany and from the ITRPV authors' group. You can find the presentation here.
With regard to selected parameters in the production of crystalline silicon solar cells from the areas of crystallization, wafer production, cell and module production, the examination of the degree of maturity provides insights into the extent to which new technologies are already being used in mass production or whether further R&D work is necessary to implement the technologies in mass production. Supported by a color matrix, four maturity levels can be distinguished for the selected parameters.
The so-called photovoltaic experience curve has for years shown the trend that with the cumulative deliveries of PV modules, prices are steadily falling. As can be seen in the presentation by Dr. Markus Fischer, the status of deliveries in 2020 shows a slight reduction in cumulative deliveries due to the corona pandemic and the observation of increasing diversification. In general, the trend observed for years will nevertheless continue. The throughput of different plants plays a major role in terms of cost reduction. The chemical processes are leading in terms of throughput, followed by metallization processes, which are showing significant progress. A significant difference in capacity can be observed in relation to thermal processes. With regard to throughput, it will become clear in the near future whether these trends will continue to be valid in view of the observed trend in wafer sizes and how much additional development work is necessary.
Do you still have questions? Dr. Susanne Herritsch, VDMA Photovoltaic Equipment, Phone +49 (0) 69 6603 1979, firstname.lastname@example.org, is happy to answer your questions.
The VDMA represents around 3300 German and European companies in the mechanical engineering industry. The industry represents innovation, export orientation, medium-sized companies and employs around four million people in Europe, more than one million of them.